ADDIS ABABA, Ethiopia (BG) – Africa is emerging as a key player in the global natural gas market, with demand expected to grow in the coming decades despite the broader global energy transition, according to The 2025 Energy Security Scenarios report by Shell.
Released on Feb. 10, the report outlines different future energy scenarios, highlighting Africa’s increasing role in natural gas production and consumption.
Under the “Surge” scenario, global demand for natural gas could reach 4,500 billion cubic meters per year in the 2030s, with developing economies—including many in Africa—turning to gas to meet rising energy needs.
Liquefied natural gas (LNG) is also expected to expand significantly, reaching 700 million tonnes per year by mid-century, with Africa playing a growing role.
Without extensive international pipeline networks, LNG will be crucial for supplying energy to many parts of the continent.
The report notes that Africa’s industrial and economic growth is driving the need for a diversified energy mix.
While renewables are expanding, natural gas remains a critical transition fuel, particularly for power generation and industrial use.
Investments in modular energy systems and local manufacturing are expected to bolster Africa’s position in the energy market.
According to the report, the future of natural gas in Africa depends on broader global energy trends.
In scenarios focused on rapid decarbonization, such as the “Horizon” pathway, gas demand could peak earlier as nations accelerate their shift to net-zero emissions.
Despite these uncertainties, Africa’s role as a natural gas hub is growing, supported by infrastructure investments and increasing domestic demand.
As the global energy landscape evolves, Africa is positioned to leverage its natural gas resources for economic development while balancing the transition to cleaner energy.
